IDSC of IZA Workshop: Matching Workers and Jobs Online – New Developments and Opportunities for Social Science and Practice

Galton’s Crowd forecasts #BTW2017 outcome better than Pollsters

Some time on Saturday September 23 2017 wahlrecht.de put up an elections prediction market which closed on Sunday September 24 2017 at 14:00 hrs, four hours before the voting stopped. A total of 4,144 people Read More …

Graph of the day: “short” searches in the Google Finance Category

The unbearable lightness of forecasting with bad data

It takes no genius in order to paint the broad strokes of sound economic policy advice. That such advice may involve the M-Word is also not a surprise. This was the case with the annual Read More …

What a (no) difference years of failure make….

I spent a few minutes reading this account of Olivier Blanchard (OB) on what went wrong in 2011. OB claims to have the four reasons which explain why a year which started in moderate but Read More …