Toll Index August 2016 -steep drop at top level

Fresh Maut data just out by the Bundesamt für Güterverkehr show a sharp month-on-month drop of the outbound heavy vehicle traffic in the month of August thus reaching the expected seasonal summer low point. Nonetheless the Toll Index posts its best August value ever indicating that German industrial production ought to not make us particularly unhappy when the BMWi posts preliminary estimates for August in mid October.

toll-index-august-2016The data is available at the Data Repository of the IDSC – Research Data Center of IZA. The paper we first studied the properties of these data is published at the Journal of Forecasting.

The Toll Index has been widely covered in national and international press (selection):

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