On Sunday December 20 2015, the Spanish electoral body is voting for a new government. Concha Artola, economist at Banco de Espana and myself are going to try to monitor the electoral process using hourly Google search data and applying the same technique as in my referendum papers (1, 2).
Here is today’s update. If one took this seriously it would seem to say that Podemos is ahead and gaining ground and there may even be some voter flow from Cs to PP and from PSOE to Podemos (provided I got the left/right orientations right).
Some discussion for the cautious: