Category Archives: nowcasting

Toll Index December 2017 – year end on a high note

The data is available at the Data Repository of the IDSC – Research Data Center of IZA. The paper we first studied the properties of these data is published at the Journal of Forecasting. The Toll Index has been widely … Continue reading

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Toll Index November 2017 – Merry Times

The Toll Index (calendar adjusted) for November indicates German industrial output remained strong in the month of November as we descent in the seasonally expected December deep. Look out for good industrial production and export numbers in a few weeks … Continue reading

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Toll Index October 2017 – Jamaican growth

German GDP growth in the third quarter of 2017 came in at +.8% (season and calendar adjusted, +2.8% only with calendar adjustment) on a quarter on quarter basis. The Toll Index for October shows that growth continues as the outbound … Continue reading

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Toll-Index-September-2017: exceptional both in level and in trend

The Toll Index (based on fresh data just released by the German BAG)  shows that German border crossing heavy truck activity is coming out of a seasonal August deep in a very impressive fashion recording the best September ever. On … Continue reading

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