Category Archives: data

Galton’s Crowd forecasts #BTW2017 outcome better than Pollsters

Some time on Saturday September 23 2017 wahlrecht.de put up an elections prediction market which closed on Sunday September 24 2017 at 14:00 hrs, four hours before the voting stopped. A total of 4,144 people provided their guesses. How did … Continue reading

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Toll-Index-August-2017: German economy doing better than its politics

The Toll Index based on fresh data just released by the German BAG¬† shows a seasonally depressed number of outbound heavy truck vehicles which however represents a record month of August since the existence of the MAUT system. I expect … Continue reading

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Graph of the day: “short” searches in the Google Finance Category

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BUSE Index Update: Trend-Spotting in the housing market

In my paper Trend-Spotting in the Housing Market I introduced the BUSE index which for the time period it was looked upon provided a forecasting of the Case-Shiller Composite US Housing Price Index and provided what I call behavioral support … Continue reading

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