Author Archives: Nikos Askitas

Galton’s Crowd forecasts #BTW2017 outcome better than Pollsters

Some time on Saturday September 23 2017 wahlrecht.de put up an elections prediction market which closed on Sunday September 24 2017 at 14:00 hrs, four hours before the voting stopped. A total of 4,144 people provided their guesses. How did … Continue reading

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Graph of the day: less than 24 hours ahead of the election #AfD with continuing surprising uptick in Google search: #btw17 #btw2017

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Toll-Index-August-2017: German economy doing better than its politics

The Toll Index based on fresh data just released by the German BAG¬† shows a seasonally depressed number of outbound heavy truck vehicles which however represents a record month of August since the existence of the MAUT system. I expect … Continue reading

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Graph of the day: #AfD with surprising uptick in Google search: #btw17 #btw2017

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