Toll Index July 2016

Heavy transportation activity on German highways and in particular the number of border crossings is descending into the August seasonal minimum but the value of July (like all other months of this year) remains exceptional high compared to all years before.
toll-index-july-2016

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Big Data is a big deal but how much data do we need?

Some thoughts on big data and on how much data is good for us, just out in AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv –
Eine Zeitschrift der Deutschen Statistischen Gesellschaft. Article: 10.1007/s11943-016-0191-3.

 

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Toll Index June 2016 – new record

The outcome of the Brexit referendum, the terror act in Nice France and the failed military coup in Turkey create a sub-optimal backdrop for economic activity and they will probably at some point weigh in the equation. This is for now not the case however. Although we are in the summertime seasonal descent of transportation activity, which will bottom out in August, this June is a record month and hints at good times in industrial production.

toll-index-june-2016

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Trend-Spotting in the Housing Market

My article on forecasting the Case-Shiller US Home Price Index with Google buy and sell searches in the Real Estate Google category is now downloadable at the website of Cityscape, Journal of the Office of Policy Development and Research (PD&R) of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

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