Toll Index August 2016 -steep drop at top level

Fresh Maut data just out by the Bundesamt für Güterverkehr show a sharp month-on-month drop of the outbound heavy vehicle traffic in the month of August thus reaching the expected seasonal summer low point. Nonetheless the Toll Index posts its best August value ever indicating that German industrial production ought to not make us particularly unhappy when the BMWi posts preliminary estimates for August in mid October.

toll-index-august-2016The data is available at the Data Repository of the IDSC – Research Data Center of IZA. The paper we first studied the properties of these data is published at the Journal of Forecasting.

The Toll Index has been widely covered in national and international press (selection):

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Predicting Road Conditions with Internet Search

Internet searches for “stau” in Germany  provide us with a public ledger of prospective driving itineraries on the basis of which we can predict road conditions….

My newest paper just out on PLoS ONE.

 

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Toll Index July 2016

Heavy transportation activity on German highways and in particular the number of border crossings is descending into the August seasonal minimum but the value of July (like all other months of this year) remains exceptional high compared to all years before.
toll-index-july-2016

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Big Data is a big deal but how much data do we need?

Some thoughts on big data and on how much data is good for us, just out in AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv –
Eine Zeitschrift der Deutschen Statistischen Gesellschaft. Article: 10.1007/s11943-016-0191-3.

 

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